KAKO DO RJEŠENJA: Čović postao ‘rob’ uvjeta, sada je u poziciji kao Dodik prije Programa reformi

Čelnik HDZ-a BiH Dragan Čović trenutno je u identičnoj poziciji u kakvoj je donedavno bio Milorad Dodik šef SNSD-a, prije nego što je popustio i potpisao Program reformi.

Dodik je ultimativno tražio da Predsjedništvo imenuje Zorana Tegeltiju za mandatara, a zauzvrat bi tek nakon toga dopustio formiranje kompletnog Vijeća ministara. S druge strane Bakir Izetbegović i ”patriotsko društvo” su opet ucjenjivački pritiskali srpskog člana Predsjedništva da potpiše ANP.

Dodik je na koncu popustio pred Kvintom šarnuvši Program reformi, dokument je već odavno u središtu NATO saveza i samo se čeka konačna potvrda je li Program kompatibilan sa Godišnjim nacionalnim planom. Ako se aktivira MAP program to bi onda bila i definitivna Dodikova kapitulacija. Političko mrcvarenje se s državne preselilo na federalnu razinu.

Maksimalističke pozicije

Kada prođu svi silni blagdani i praznici javnost očekuje ubrzanje aktivnosti oko imenovanja novih čelnih ljudi FBiH, a onda i novog saziva federalne Vlade.

Pozicije su zakovane. Nije mali broj političkih aktera i analitičara koji cijene kako je situacija s formiranjem vlasti u većem entitetu daleko kompliciranija nego što je to bilo oko Vijeća ministara. Predsjednik HDZ-a BiH Dragan Čović, kao i Dodik, postavio je uvjet sarajevskim političkim partnerima dogovorom oko novog Izbornoga zakona. Bez izbora u Mostaru i usvajanja Izbornog zakona koji će zajamčiti da konstitutivni narodi sebi biraju predstavnike u zakonodavnoj i izvršnoj vlasti, nema, stoji u važećem Čovićevom zahtijevu, nove federalne vlasti.

S druge strane čelnici ”bošnjačke reprezentacije”, koji su s Čovićevim HDZ-om BIH dio federalne parlamentarne većine, jednako ultimativno odbacuju sva uvjetovanja i predlažu da se nova vlast u Federaciji uspostavi bez ikakvih ucjena. Posebno su osjetljivi i zabetonirani u strateškom opredijeljenju da neće dopustiti da se izglasa novi Izborni zakon po ”anakronoj” antieuropskoj matrici HDZ BiH.

”Bošnjački izbornik” Bakir Izetbegović sugerira Draganu Čoviću da prihvati činjenicu da u BiH obitava živuće građansko političko tkivo, dok Željko Komšić, čija politička karijera ovisi o izbornim pravilima, ne krije da je i ušao u koaliciju sa SDA kako bi prioritetno spriječio eventualno popuštanje i usvajanje Izbornog zakona po Čovićevim mjerilima.

Na sceni je pat pozicija, svi ključni pregovarači su zauzeli maksimalističke pozicije, sreća je da je usvojen proračun Federacije za tekuću godinu, pa ljudi mogu bez osobitog stresa preživljavati ta buduća politička iživljavanja. Dragan Čović za sada stoji uspravno, ne daje znake da bi mogao poviti kralježnicu. U rukavu ima jedini, vrlo ubojiti, ali ne i trajni adut, dvotrećinsku većinu u Domu naroda Parlamenta FBiH.

To se mora respektirati, međutim, doima se da bošnjački čelnici također ne gube strpljenje, već je prošla skoro godina i pol dana od zadnjih općih izbora i nije isključeno da se trakavica rastegne na jedno duže razdoblje.

Žurba

Vođa SDA Bakir Izetbegović je znakovito u nekoliko navrata upozorio kako Izborni zakon naprosto nije moguće usuglasiti za nekoliko mjeseci ako se to već nije moglo uraditi za nekoliko zadnjih godina.

Čović dakle ima alat. Međutim, vrlo je bitno ukazati da se njemu svakako žuri, jer bi ova godina za njega mogla u političkom smislu biti presudna. Ako ne uspije zgotoviti i progurati novi Izborni zakon, znači neće ispuniti obećanje, što mu nije prvi put, a ako pak kapitulira i odustane od ultimatuma i dopusti formiranje nove Vlade FBiH onda bi mogao izgubiti svaku vjerodostojnost i kredibilitet neslomivog vođe.

Politički ambijent za Čovića je vrlo pogodan zbog dvotrećinske većine u Domu naroda, međutim ogromna je nedoumica hoće li tu većinu i moć imati i nakon sljedećih parlamentarnih izbora ako sadašnji Izborni zakon ostane na snazi. Da se čelnicima Hrvatskog narodnog sabora itekako žuri s usvajanjem novog Izbornog zakona svjedoče i riječi Bože Ljubića koji je nedavno izrazio nadu da će se u problem s Izbornim zakonom uključiti i veleposlanici KVINTE, isti oni koji su ‘polomili’ Milorada Dodika.

Oni djeluju robusno i kompromisno. Veliki bi pomak bio rješavanje slučaja Mostar i to bi zasigurno trasiralo pravac novim izbornim pravilima i na višim razinama. Šef HDZ-a BiH je postavljanjem uvjeta sarajevskim partnerima u neku ruku postao i rob Izbornog zakona. Njegova je sreća što u hrvatskom političkom korpusu nema snažne alternative pa će posljedice po njega u svakom raspletu biti blage u odnosu na ono što će možda tek doživljavati od goropadne oporbe u RS-u Milorad Dodik, ako NATO objavi aktiviranje MAP programa.

J. S.

43 thoughts on “KAKO DO RJEŠENJA: Čović postao ‘rob’ uvjeta, sada je u poziciji kao Dodik prije Programa reformi

  • siječanj 11, 2020 at 4:15 pm
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    HB jedino garantuje prava i slobodu Hrvatima u FBih,tamo gdje su manjina tesko zive.

    Reply
  • siječanj 11, 2020 at 4:20 pm
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    Tamni Vilajet..BIH stvorena silom i opstaje silom jer Zapad tako zeli koji je i vodio zlocinacki poduhvat rusenja SFRJ i stvaranja protivravnih vjestackih kolonija koje lako
    “Medjunarodnoj zajednici”-EU-SAD i odgovara ovako stanje stalne napetosti i nereda.

    Reply
  • siječanj 12, 2020 at 9:01 am
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    Pa dosta su covic i dodik ucjenjivali sve i svakoga, zbog njih ne napreduje drzava, zbog njih i jesmo tamni vilajet, a vi komentatori ako vam nevalja iselite se drugdije ti mlado bosanac iz zeljuse idi u nevesinje a ti zrinjski iz mostara u zagreb,

    Reply
    • siječanj 12, 2020 at 2:09 pm
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      Ti govno nadi sebi mijesto totije najbolje

      Reply
      • siječanj 12, 2020 at 9:34 pm
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        Hajd govnaru ti iz drzave koju nevolis, idi u onu koju volis kurac cete Bosnu prekrajati

        Reply
    • siječanj 12, 2020 at 2:13 pm
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      Hajti Bujrum Istanbul Tirana Dubai..Srbi i Hrvati su na svojoj zemlji i tu ostaju a Islam je sa Turcima stigao.

      Reply
      • siječanj 12, 2020 at 9:32 pm
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        Mrs jebo ti pas mater i tebi i njima, dodji ti pa me probaj istjerati jebali ti turci mater četničku u usta

        Reply
  • siječanj 12, 2020 at 10:35 pm
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    Samo reaktiviranje HB nudi rjesenje kako za Hrvate tako i za BiH.

    Reply
    • siječanj 13, 2020 at 2:12 pm
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      HB i to u konfederaciji BIH tako da svak svojim upravlja i odlucuje.

      Reply
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